Stephanie Mayer (Norway) 1; Eivind Brendehaug (Norway) 2; Inger Hanssen-Bauer (Norway) 3,4
1 - NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Norwegian Centre for Climate Services; 2 - Western Norway Research Institute; 3 - Norwegian Meteorological Institute; 4 - Norwegian Centre for Climate Services
Tourism in Norway is affected by current climate conditions and will probably be more affected due to future climate change. Tourism industry actors and tourists are adapting to changing conditions. Except for skiing tourism, little research is done on how nature-based tourism can develop sustainable adaptation strategies to face climate change and its impacts.
Within the CLIM-TOUR project (2018-2021), we investigate impacts of present and future climate change on Norwegian nature-based tourism. In close dialogue with practitioners who are active in the tourism sector, we identify and develop relevant climate indices for single destinations in Norway (e.g. Jotunheimen, Flåm, Hardanger, Lofoten). One major concern is the future increase of mean and extreme precipitation in frequency and intensity. This will increase risks for existing infrastructure such as roads and railways which may hamper tourism flow and safety. At the same time longer periods with precipitation may reduce the quality of nature-based tourist activities and experiences such as (guided) hiking tours in the Norwegian mountains.
We analyse consecutive wet days making use of a 1 x 1 km gridded data set consisting of an ensemble of 10 regional climate model projections for Norway available at Norsk Klima Service Center maps.
As an ultimate product towards the end of the project, we aim to publish a selection of climate indices relevant for the tourism sector on the webpage of the Norwegian Centre for Climate Services, Norsk Klima Service Center.