User expectations for a European Climate Prediction System

11:15 Wednesday 29 May


Room S5


Sebastian Bathiany (Germany) 1; Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen (Denmark) 2; Jaroslav Mysiak (Italy) 4; Claas Teichmann (Germany) 1; Dominic Matte (Denmark) 2; Dragana Bojovic (Spain) 3

1 - Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht (HZG); 2 - University of Copenhagen; 3 - Barcelona Supercomputing Center; 4 - Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC)

This session will bring together climate modelers and societal stakeholders to discuss potential applications of seamless climate predictions in Europe on time scales from 1-40 years. The discussion will focus on key issues related to an optimal participative approach between policy-makers, practitioners and climate experts as part of the H2020-funded European Climate Prediction System (EUCP) project. One of the major key issues is the development of a climate service that will directly benefit the users by offering a seamless and robust climate information with clear and comprehensive documentation of uncertainties. The aim of this session is to discuss:

  1. the involvement of the users in the process;
  2. the variables or the climate indicators that should be provided,
  3. how uncertainties can be quantified and correctly communicated to users in order to provide consistent, authoritative and actionable climate information,
  4. how we can address the major barriers to use of climate prediction through the process of the service co-production by scientists and users.

Target audience

Developers and purveyors of climate services, potential or actual users of climate predictions, policy and decision makers and practitioners; climate modelers

Proposed format for the session

Few short presentations (~8 minutes each) plus long discussion round (1:15 hour).

Contributing Authors abstracts

The speakers are:

  1. Jason Lowe, Scientific Coordinator of EUCP (UK MetOffice): Benefits from a European Climate Prediction system
  2. Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Director Earth Sciences (BSC): The added value of user-driven climate predictions
  3. Erik Kjellström, Professor in climatology (SMHI): a new set of high-resolution simulations for Europe and their potential applications
  4. Albrecht Weerts, Data – model integration (Deltares): Future risks of hydro-meteorological extremes
  5. Bart van den Hurk, Professor of Climate Interactions with the Socio-Ecological System (VU Amsterdam): Examples for “data reduction” climate services
  6. Jarolav Mysiak, Director Risk assessment and adaptation strategies (CMCC): The value of climate predictions for downstream climate services